Sedigheh Monavari

Sedi

PhD Candidate in Quantitative Marketing

Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

Job Market 2026–27

Department of Marketing, Warwick Business School
University of Warwick, Scarman Rd, Coventry, UK CV4 7AL

sedigheh.monavari@warwick.ac.uk LinkedIn CV (PDF)

Sedigheh Monavari

Research

Pricing & promotions, digital platforms, promotional timing, consumer health, consumer sentiment

Methods

Causal inference, econometrics, meta-analysis, machine learning, LLM simulations

About

I am a PhD candidate in Quantitative Marketing at Warwick Business School, and I am on the academic job market for 2026–27. My research sits at the intersection of econometrics, particularly causal inference, and computational methods. I study how digital platform design shapes consumer behaviour, market outcomes, and welfare.

My substantive research examines the consequences of platform interventions for consumers and other participants. In commercial settings, I combine quasi-experimental analysis of large-scale transaction data with meta-analytic evidence to study how discount design influences consumer decisions, sellers, and market outcomes. In digital health, I investigate how different types of nudges shape engagement, access, and consumer behaviour.

My methodological research explores how large language models can support survey-based research. I develop approaches that use LLM-generated responses alongside human data to improve inference, particularly when collecting primary data is costly or limited.

Education

  • 2024–2027

    Ph.D., Marketing (Candidate)

    Warwick Business School, University of Warwick

  • 2022–2024

    M.Res., Business & Management (Marketing)

    Warwick Business School, University of Warwick — Distinction

  • 2021

    MSc, Business Administration

    Amirkabir University of Technology — GPA: 18.3/20

  • 2016

    BSc, Computer Software Engineering

    Sharif University of Technology — GPA: 16.3/20

Research

Working Papers

“Planned vs. Impulse: Discount Format”

With Iman Ahmadi, Nick Lee, and John Rudd. Job Market Paper. Full text available upon request.

Drawing on longitudinal transaction data from a large food-delivery platform, this paper examines how planned versus immediate discounts shape consumer purchasing behaviour. It focuses on how discount timing interacts with consumers’ tendencies to explore new restaurants, and how these differences relate to spending, restaurant choice, and responses to promotions.

“Beyond Single LLMs: Using Model Ensembles to Improve Synthetic Data in Marketing Experiments”

With Mohammad Sheikhian Kazerooni, Marco Gregori, and Iman Ahmadi. Working Paper.

Using four LLM families (ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, Grok) across six published marketing experiments, we develop a framework that improves LLM-human correlations from r ≈ 0.08 to r ≈ 0.40 via multi-model ensembling, covariate recalibration, and response-style adjustment integrated through Recalibrated Prediction-Powered Inference (RePPI). The pipeline reduces standard errors by approximately 16% on average, corresponding to an effective labeled-sample-size increase of roughly 24%.

“Decomposing Promotional Timing: When Discounts Are Given, When Rewards Arrive, and Why the Difference Matters”

Sedigheh Monavari, Iman Ahmadi, Nick Lee, and John Rudd. Working Paper, 2026.

A meta-analysis of effect sizes from academic papers (2017–2026) decomposing promotional timing into signalling (immediate vs. planned) and reward delivery (instant vs. delayed). Instant rewards significantly outperform delayed ones; however, this disadvantage is nearly eliminated when consumers receive advance notice, enabling anticipatory mental accounting.

“Revealed Competition and Promotional Spillovers in a Marketplace”

Sedigheh Monavari, Iman Ahmadi, Nick Lee, and John Rudd. Work in Progress, 2026.

When a seller funds a discount on an online marketplace, whose demand does it take? Using transaction-level data from a food delivery platform, I build a competitor network from shared pre-period customers and estimate how seller-funded coupons affect rival sellers. Geographic definitions of competition show no rival losses, but revealed competition does: losses concentrate on a narrow set of rivals that share customers with the promoting seller, and are steepest among those selling the same type of food. How competitors are measured determines whether promotional spillovers are visible at all.

Research in Progress

“Consumer Responses to Digital Nudges on a Health Platform”

With Iman Ahmadi, Nick Lee, and John Rudd.

Examines how different types of digital nudges influence consumer engagement and behaviour on a digital health platform, exploring variation in responses across users and intervention types.

“Screening Manipulations with Silicon Samples: Bayesian Programme-Level Inference with LLM-Generated Responses”

With Marco Gregori.

Develops a Bayesian approach to using LLM-generated responses alongside evidence from related experiments to help assess new research manipulations.

“Polling with AI: Can LLM Surrogates Supplement Probabilistic Sampling for Voting-Intention Research?”

With Mohammad Sheikhian Kazerooni, Marco Gregori, and Iman Ahmadi.

Evaluates whether LLM predictions can supplement a small human survey (N ≈ 1,200 Scottish residents via Prolific) to produce valid constituency-level estimates of voting intention for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, combining human and synthetic responses through Prediction-Powered Inference.

Presentations

  • 2026

    “Beyond Single LLMs: Using Model Ensembles to Improve Synthetic Data in Marketing Experiments”

    INFORMS Marketing Science (ISMS). Oral presentation, 2026.

  • 2023

    “Beyond the Bargain: Deciphering the Complexities of Food Choices”

    European Marketing Academy (EMAC). Poster.

  • 2023–2026

    Marketing Research Brownbag

    Warwick Business School.

Teaching

  • 2024/25, 2025/26, 2026/27

    Marketing and Strategy Analytics

    Graduate Teaching Assistant, MSc — Warwick Business School. Rating: 4.3/5 (2025).

  • 2026/2027

    Principles of Marketing

    Graduate Teaching Assistant, Undergraduate — Warwick Business School.

  • 2020/2021

    Managerial Decision Making

    Graduate Teaching Assistant, MBA — Amirkabir University of Technology.

  • 2013/2014

    Computer Programming

    Teaching Assistant, BSc — Sharif University of Technology.

Teaching Recognition

  • 2025–2026

    Teaching Excellence Certificate

    Recognition for contribution to Warwick Business School (WBS).

Industry Experience

  • 2022

    Product Manager — Snapp!

    Developed the in-house A/B testing and experimentation platform; applied econometric methods to evaluate causal effects of platform interventions.

  • 2021–2022

    Product Analyst — Tapsell

    Analysed large-scale advertising data to optimise business operations; built dashboards and data models supporting data-driven decision-making.